Most parts of Northwest India are still waiting for typical November winters. The day temperatures in Rajasthan have not dropped below 30 degrees. Maximums of Rajasthan are between 31 and 34 degrees. Minimum temperatures are also between 18 to 24 degrees.
The timely onset of winter is crucial for the sowing of Rabi crops. The main reason for the delay in winter can be attributed to the lesser intensity and frequency of Western disturbances. We have not seen any strong Western disturbance approaching the Western Himalayas in the last month. There is no significant snowfall over the hills in the absence of Western disturbances.
Rain and snow are crucial over Hills and northern plains for temperatures to drop up to Rajasthan Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh. After the passage of the Western disturbance dry and cold winds from snow-clad mountains usually travel up to the centre part of the country leading to a steep fall in temperatures.
We do not expect any active Western disturbance approaching the Western Himalayas for at least the next 8 to 10 days. Therefore, we can say that the typical winter chill will remain absent from Gujarat until the end of November.
