The intensity and frequency of the Western disturbance has reduced significantly. The weather in the Western Himalayas has gone completely dry and wo not foresee any active Western disturbance to approach the Hills of North India for the next one week.
A moderate intensity Western Disturbance is likely to approach The Hills from November 3rd. There may be light to moderate rain and snowfall over the hills. Rain activities may increase over Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Ladakh, Jammu Kashmir, and Himachal Pradesh. Isolated light rain and snow may occur over Uttarakhand as well.
The frequency of Western disturbance usually intensifies by the third week of November with peak intensity in December and January. We do not expect any incident of mudslide, landslide, or Avalanche until the second week of November over the hills. Therefore, it is safe to travel to hilly destinations until the first half of November.
