Monsoon Activity To Pick Up In Delhi, Four Day Wet Spell Likely
Monsoon has mostly remained quiet over Delhi/NCR for the last six days. The base station at Safdarjung has recorded only traces of rainfall during this period. A similar pattern was observed at most other stations in Delhi and the NCR as well. An uptick in weather activity is expected this week, possibly spilling over into the next. However, the activity may recede again toward the end of the month.
The monsoon trough is currently well south of its normal position and at a considerable distance from the national capital. At lower levels, it passes through Barmer, Kota, Ashok Nagar, and further eastward. However, conditions are becoming favorable for its northward shift, bringing it closer to Delhi. It is expected to remain in the proximity of the capital for around 4–5 days, potentially reviving monsoon activity.
A cyclonic circulation is now lying over northwest Madhya Pradesh and adjoining Rajasthan. An elongated east-west trough is likely to form, running across Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, south Uttar Pradesh, and terminating over Gangetic West Bengal, where another cyclonic circulation is developing at lower levels. These two systems will anchor either end of the monsoon trough, keeping it steady across the Indo-Gangetic plains for the next four days or so.
Delhi will experience only fleeting and patchy showers today. The seasonal monsoon trough will position slightly south of Delhi, staying nearby over the weekend and into early next week. The lack of rain has led to rising mercury levels, with temperatures exceeding 36°C yesterday — the second time this month. Similar temperatures are expected today, followed by a drop over the weekend. A wet spell with moderate, intermittent rain and thundershowers is likely between 22nd and 26th August 2025. Showers could be more widespread and intense between 23rd and 25th August. The trough will recede south of Delhi again around 27th August, bringing an end to the monsoon burst.
