Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-Dry Weather Till Weekend: Showers Likely Early Next Week

Key Takeaways:

• Dry weather and rising temperatures are currently prevailing across the plains of North India.
• A low-pressure area is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal within the next 36 hours and subsequently move inland.
• Delhi, Punjab and Haryana may witness scattered rain from September 11-13, with increased intensity and spread between September 14 and 16.
• Weather activity may largely clear from September 18, potentially paving the way for the commencement of southwest monsoon withdrawal from extreme western India.
• Forecast Validity: Next 5 to 7 days.

Dry weather conditions prevailed over the plains of North India during the past 24 hours. Temperatures have risen across the board over these parts. The main triggers are the western disturbance and the monsoon trough, and both are not active at all. A similar pattern will prevail till the weekend, and some revival is likely, albeit a temporary one, during next week.

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The monsoon trough at the surface level is passing through Firozpur, Muzaffarnagar, Lucknow, Patna and thence eastward to finally dip over the Head Bay. However, the low-level winds are strong northwesterlies, indicating a northward shift of the trough. Fair weather conditions are prevailing across the mountains, as the westerly system over the area is rather weak. There is some development likely to take place over the Bay of Bengal, later becoming consequential for weather activity over the plains next week.

A low-pressure area is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal within the next 36 hours or so. This system will move deep inland to carry monsoon activity over the eastern, central and northern parts of the country. Punjab, Haryana and Delhi will also be the peripheral beneficiaries, receiving scattered rain and thundershowers.

The inland movement of the system will reverse the wind pattern and drag the monsoon trough southward. In addition, a western disturbance is likely to arrive on 14th September and move across the region till the middle of next week. The combined influence of these systems will bring monsoon showers over the plains of North India.

To start with, Delhi is likely to have mild weather activity on 11th September 2026. The foothills of Punjab and Haryana, along with Delhi, will have scattered rain and showers on 12th and 13th September 2026. The intensity and spread will increase between 14th and 16th September. The area of influence will shrink significantly on 17th September, and broad clearance is likely from 18th September onwards.

The cessation of weather activity may pave the way for the start of monsoon withdrawal from the extreme western parts of the country.