The cyclone watch is on for the Indian seas as April and May are favourable months for the formation of storms in both the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, few of them rather severe, more of them developing in the Bay of Bengal.
In April, these disturbances originate in South and Southeast Bay of Bengal moving north northwestward or northward and later recurving towards Myanmar and Bangladesh.
On the other side of the West Coast, they occur in the Southeast Arabian Sea and move northwestward, recurving and later threatening the Gujarat coast.
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During the month of May, most storms originating in the Bay of Bengal are between 10 and 15 degrees North which move northwestwards initially, later recurving northeastwards. In fact, in May, the entire East Coast of India including Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and West Bengal is vulnerable, while recurving ones’ route towards Myanmar and Bangladesh.
In the Arabian Sea, these systems originate in the southern portion, moving northwards and later recurving towards the Gujarat and Maharashtra region. Some of them even threaten Oman and Yemen regions.
Presently, there are some signs of cyclogenesis in the Bay of Bengal wherein a Low Pressure Area is expected to form in Southeast Bay of Bengal and South Andaman Sea around April 28. This system is expected to intensify into a well-marked low pressure area, furthermore into a depression.
Click the image below to see the live lightning and thunderstorm across India
The system has the capability of becoming a deep depression and the possibility of further intensification into a weak cyclone cannot be ruled out. If at all it intensifies into a cyclone, it will be named as Sagar, the first storm of the season.
In wake of this, moderate to heavy rains are likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Any information taken from here should be credited to skymetweather.com
