The third western disturbance of the month of January is seen coming towards the hill states of North India. The system will start showing its effect in Jammu and Kashmir from the evening of 31 January. It is expected that rain and snowfall will be recorded at many places in the western Himalayan states from 1 February to 3 February.
Western disturbance has now reached North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu and Kashmir. Its effect will begin on Jammu and Kashmir from Sunday evening or night. Weather activities will increase from February 1 when light to moderate rain and snowfall are expected at some places in Ladakh and North Himachal Pradesh including Gilgit-Baltistan Muzaffarabad besides Jammu and Kashmir. This system is weaker than previous systems, due to which there is no possibility of heavy rain or snowfall in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
Usually, when there is an active western disturbance in North India, the cold winds coming from the northwest direction towards the plains changes pattern. The speed of the winds will slow due to which the winter chill over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat decreases.
This western disturbance is weak and at the same time it will pass through the north of Jammu and Kashmir i.e. it will move through higher altitudes, due to which the icy northwest winds will continue. As a result, cold weather conditions will continue for the next two-three days over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi NCR, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.
From February 4, rain activities will be seen not only in the plains of North India but also in some areas of Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and then eastern India.