Updated on April 4, 2016: The ongoing Western Disturbance has given fairly widespread rain and thundershowers over Jammu and Kashmir and isolated places, especially the higher reaches, received snowfall.
However, this Western Disturbance is moving towards the eastern direction. And isolated rain activity over hilly state is expected for the next 24 hours. Thereafter, the weather will go dry.
For the next 24 hours, significant decrease in rainfall activity is expected in these states.
By the afternoon of April 6, a fresh Western Disturbance is expected to affect Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh which will remain active till the April 8.
Models are suggesting that a back to back Western Disturbance will approach West Himachal till first half of April, with small gaps of 24 hours.
Updated on April 3, 2016: The Western Disturbance is currently over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu and Kashmir.
Along with it, an induced cyclonic circulation from this system is marked over Central Pakistan and adjoining Rajasthan and Haryana.
The system has given isolated rain over some parts of Jammu and Kashmir.
For instance, during the last 24 hours from 8:30 am on Saturday, Banihal recorded 8 mm of rain. Also Qazi Gund received a good 10 mm rainfall.
This Western Disturbance is likely to move in an eastward direction. Thus, during the next 24 hours, fairly widespread rain and is expected over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Chances of landslides over hilly regions cannot be ruled out.
During the next 24 to 48 hours, good showers along with snow will continue over Jammu and Kashmir. Thereafter, the intensity is likely to reduce.
Until April 6 and 7, Uttarakhand ad Himachal Pradesh will receive scattered rain and thundershowers. After that, the sky is likely to clear up.
With these rains, threat of natural calamities in terms of landslides and avalanche has also made a comeback over the region.
A fresh Western Disturbance is approaching hilly region of North India and is presently marked over North Pakistan and adjoining areas.
The system will initially give weather over Jammu and Kashmir on Friday, while, Himachal Pradesh will only have isolated weather activity tomorrow.
Intensity and spread of rain are likely to increase from Saturday covering both the states. However, weather activity over Uttarakhand will be confined to light only.
According to Skymet Weather, the system is active in nature and thus we can expect the wet spell to continue for at least four days.
During this, fairly widespread light to moderate rains are likely to lash hilly region till April 4. Few place might record some heavy showers as well. Thereafter, the Western Disturbance will clear away the region leading to significant increase in the region.
In wake of this activity, day temperatures will also register significant dip by 8-10 degrees. This will lead to cool day conditions over several parts of the states.
At present, a Western Disturbance is also moving across Jammu and Kashmir. But being feeble in nature, it has not given any weather over the region and day maximums continue to settle well above the normal average temperatures.
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