Northeast India is the only prominent region in the country that has been experiencing moderate to heavy rains since the beginning of May. In fact, recently, due to overflow of the river Juri and river Kakti over the northern parts of Tripura, flash floods had obstructed several parts of Tripura leading to many disruptions.
According to Skymet Weather, at present, significant weather systems are aligned to give more rains over the northeastern states in the coming days. The major reason for these rains can be attributed to the Cyclonic Circulation that has been making a frequent appearance either over Assam or Meghalaya, or over East Bangladesh and adjoining region. Plus, humid winds from the Bay of Bengal are continuously feeding moisture, thus making the conditions favourable for rains.
As these systems are expected to stay for one week or so, we do not expect any dip in the intensity of rainfall activities, however, intensity may vary from state to state.
Thus, on and off light to moderate rain and thundershower activities with few heavy spells will continue over the Seven Sister States including Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, Tripura and Sikkim during the coming week.
Generally, onset of Monsoon over Northeast India occurs simultaneously with Kerala. However, as reiterated by Skymet Weather, there might be some delay for the onset of Monsoon over Kerala, but rains will continue with higher intensity over Northeast India.
Further, we expect the progress of Monsoon would be much more smoother over Northeast India than South Peninsula.
Until the arrival of monsoon, moderate to heavy rains will occur over all the northeastern states, with rains gradually intensifying in the first week of June. Moreover, there are bright chances of water logging, hailstorm and lightning strikes during this period.
Overall, weather will remain comfortable, with both day and night temperatures settling below normal over entire Northeast India.
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