Neutral ENSO, Negative IOD, Meandering MJO, Offer Weak Push For Monsoon
The latest seasonal forecasts indicate a high likelihood of ENSO-neutral conditions persisting through the June–September 2025 period, with a marginal probability of La Niña development. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is also expected to remain neutral, with slight fluctuations possible. These combined neutral conditions suggest near-normal monsoon rainfall, though intra-seasonal variations and other atmospheric factors may influence regional deviations.
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