By looking at the current weather condition, it seems like the Western Himalayas are once again geared up for heavy rain and snowfall activities. In fact, light activities have already begun and isolated places of Western Himalayas have been experiencing light rain and snow since the last 24 hours. Moreover, sky conditions remained cloudy over most places while valleys of Western Himalayas experienced partly cloudy sky conditions in the last 24 hours.
In wake of above conditions, day temperatures have also slightly risen, however nights are still being felt as ‘very cold’. Moreover, moderate fog was observed over the plains while valleys of Western Himalayas came under the grip of moderate to dense fog in the past 24 hours.
Now, a feeble Western Disturbance as an upper air system is persisting over northern parts of Jammu & Kashmir. Moreover, its induced Cyclonic Circulation is lying over Haryana and parts of North Rajasthan. In presence of this combination, next 24 hours would observe cloudy sky conditions and subsequent rains and snowfall over higher reaches of Himalayas such as Lahaul, Spiti, Kinnaur, Chamoli, Badrinath and Leh. Further, due to these activities, we expect day temperatures to increase slightly, while night temperatures to decrease marginally.
In addition to the above feeble Western Disturbance, another Western Disturbance in a quick succession will approach and affect western parts of West Himalayas, most probably on February 4. Thus, a fresh spell of rain and snowfall will begin February 4 onward. Initially, this spell will be observed over higher reaches. However, as the time progresses, moderate to heavy rain and snowfall at many places would be witnessed. Moreover, during this time, isolated places might come under the grip of some hailstorm activities. This on and off spell of rain and snowfall will continue until February 8, with intensity remaining more on February 7 and 8 over most places.
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