Three land locked sub divisions of Maharashtra : Vidarbha, Marathwada and Madhya Maharashtra are likely to have heavy to very heavy rains over the next two days. Severity of rains will be in that order and moderation of intensity will take place on the third day (23rd July). Weather activity will go very mild over the subsequent 48 hours. Extremely heavy rains at few places will possibly result localized flooding and inundation.
Entire state of Maharashtra has remained on the better side of monsoon rains and holds the distinction of all the sub divisions being normal or above normal through the season so far. Despite the weak monsoon activity for over two weeks between 21st June and 10th July, the most dreaded sub divisions sailed safe to register adequate monsoon rains.
While the drought prone division of Marathwada improved its score, the other two sub divisions also performed satisfactorily to remain close to the average. Presently, a cyclonic circulation is marked over Northwest Bay of Bengal(BoB) and a low pressure area is likely to come up anytime soon over same region. Significant zone of convergence is forming between the westerly winds from the Arabian Sea and turning winds of easterly arm of monsoon from Bay of Bengal. This confluence zone will meander mostly covering parts of Marathwada and Vidarbha over the next 48hr before being displaced due to another system forming over Bay of Bengal.
Northern half of these three subdivisions will be more vulnerable than the south and live with a threat of localized blasting rains on 21st and 22nd July. Akola, Amravati, Washim, Wardha, Buldhana, Nagpur, Jalna, Hingoli, Parbhani, Aurangabad, Jalgaon, Dhule, Nandurbar, Ahmednagar, Nashik and Pune will constitute as soft targets. Heavy rains will be accompanied with thunderstorm, lightening and squally winds. The remaining parts also are expected to have moderate rain and thundershower . General improvement in weather conditions is expected over the weekend.