The month of August is not spelling anything good for Mumbai in terms of rain. Going by our data, the city is experiencing rain deficit of more than 50%. In the last twenty days, there has been only one spell of heavy rain in Mumbai. And this situation does not look to improve further. “Our weather models hardly show any chances of rain in Mumbai for a week. If at all, rain will be light to very light, between 5 to 10mm”, informs Mahesh Palawat, Head of the weather forecasting team at Skymet Weather.
Weather data shows that the average rainfall figure for the month of August in Mumbai is 529.7mm but the city has received less than 250mm of rain so far. “Even if it rains heavily in the remaining days of the month, which barely looks a possibility, it cannot cover the vast gap in the rain figures”, adds Palawat.
The lack of a significant system and a well-marked low in the Arabian Sea is the reason behind the dismal rain situation in the city of dreams. The oscillation of the monsoon trough line has been the only source of rain in the city. It was the trough’s initial oscillation which brought one day of heavy rain (92.3mm on 1st August) in Mumbai.
Mumbai has recorded only 1mm of rain in the last 24hours and tomorrow it may continue to remain very light, i.e. below 5mm. Days would continue to be partly cloudy and breezy but the mercury levels may rise by 1 to 2 degrees due to little rain.
“We are closely studying the weather and the rain situation in Mumbai to see if there is any formation of a new system in sea, since that is the only source of good rain in the city”, informed Mahesh Palawat.
Photo by Ritika Acharya.