The state of Gujarat is running rain deficient since last many days. Gujarat is divided into two major meteorological divisions out of which, Saurashtra and Kutch is one of the most rain deficient pockets in the country as of now. The deficiency in the region is a whopping 63%, while in Gujarat region the shortfall stands at 29%.
The state of Gujarat received good rains during the second week of June due to Cyclone Vayu. But thereafter it has been a lull for the region due to the absence of any significant weather system over Northeast Arabian Sea. However, in the last week of June and in the first week of July the southern districts of the state such as Valsad, Surat and adjoining areas did receive moderate to heavy rains.
But as these rains remained confined over a few southern districts, they were not able to pull down the rainfall deficiency being observed by the state.
Now, we expect rains to increase once again in the state as a Cyclonic Circulation has developed over Gujarat region, Southwest Madhya Pradesh and South Rajasthan. So, by July 20, moderate rains with isolated heavy spells may commence in the Gujarat region.
Places like Narmada, Surat, Bharuch, Vadodra, Chotta Udaipur, Dahod, Panchmahal, Kheda, Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad and Surendranagar may receive good rains. Places like Rajkot, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Maheshana may also receive scattered rains for the next 24 to 48 hours.
By July 22 or 23, the rains will once again decrease.
Another spell of rain is expected in the Southern districts and Gujarat region around July 26, prevailing till July 28.
Thus, we can infer that the prolonged dry spell over the state is about to break now.
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