Rains in Mumbai and Maharashtra as a whole have been on the lower side this week. So much so that heavy showers have remained slightly far away from the city.
Between June 1 and September 17, Maharashtra is surplus by 13%. If we see region wise rain statistics then Marathwada is surplus by 30%, followed by Konkan and Goa which 21%, Madhya Maharashtra is surplus by 13%. But Vidarbha is deficient by 3%.
If we talk about averages, the average rainfall of Vidarbha is higher than Marathwada and Madhya Maharashtra. Rain activities have decreased significantly over most parts of Maharashtra during last 3 to 4 days. Albeit scattered rains are going on over Konkan and Goa and parts of Vidarbha, but intensity remained light. A Cyclonic circulation has developed over northwest Bay of Bengal, and it will travel in westerly direction.
Moreover, cyclonic circulation will form over Vidarbha and Marathwada region at 500 hpa. Therefore, rain activities may once again intensify over Vidarbha and Marathwada by tomorrow September 19. Konkan and Goa may witness moderate showers with isolated heavy spells between September 21 and 23.
Mumbai and suburbs will also experience moderate to heavy rain between 21 and 23rd September. Rain activities over southern districts of Madhya Maharashtra will be light, but northern district such as Jalgaon, Malegaon, Nasik, Ahmednagar and Shirdi may experience light to moderate showers.