Mercury Spikes In Delhi: Warm Days Ahead-Rain Unlikely

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Feb 11, 2026, 1:15 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Delhi recorded its highest temperature in nearly 100 days, with both day and night temperatures above normal.
  • Two back-to-back Western Disturbances will shape North India’s weather between 12–18 February.
  • Strong surface winds and thin cloud cover are expected mid-week, but rainfall chances remain low.
  • Light precipitation, if any, may occur only around 17–18 February.

Mercury levels have shot up in Delhi over the past 24 hours. Base station Safdarjung recorded a maximum of 28.6°C yesterday, about 5.2°C above the average. The minimum temperature was 13.2°C, again above normal by about 3°C. This is also the highest day temperature of the last 100 days, as a similar reading of 28.6°C was last recorded on 07th November 2025. The minimum temperature of 13.2°C is also the highest since 05th November 2025. Earlier, double-digit minimum temperatures ranging between 10°–11°C were recorded for a few days at the fag end of January and the first week of February 2026.

GP Sir Graphs-Arti (3).png FEB DEL 11

A pair of Western Disturbances is likely to approach in quick succession between 12–13 February and 16–18 February 2026. The first system will be rather mild, and the weather activity will remain confined to the mid and higher reaches of the northern mountains. The second system will be relatively stronger and will influence the weather pattern over the northern plains.

The mercury range will stay on the higher side for the national capital over the next 3–4 days. There could be a marginal drop in the maximum and minimum temperatures over the next 24 hours. The passage of the Western Disturbance will trigger strong surface winds between 13th and 16th February 2026. Scattered thin clouds are likely on 12th and 13th February 2026. February is the rainiest winter month but has remained dry so far. No showers are likely this week. At the earliest, some light precipitation may occur around 17th–18th February 2026.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

A rise in temperatures is linked to changing wind patterns ahead of approaching Western Disturbances, preventing strong cold conditions.

No rainfall is expected through most of the week, with only a slight chance of light precipitation around 17–18 February.

Only a marginal dip is likely in the next 24 hours, while overall temperatures will remain above normal for several days.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.