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Monsoon 2019 may end on a surplus note, 889 mm rains already recorded a week before official end

September 24, 2019 5:57 PM |

Monsoon 2019 to end on a surplus note

India has not witnessed good Monsoon season for the past five to six years. Years 2014 and 2015 were drought years and 2016 witnessed 97 percent rain. Similarly, in 2017 the overall rainfall was short by five percent. The year 2018 also witnessed nearly drought-like conditions. However, this year, a week before the official end date of Monsoon, normal rains have already been achieved and the country might even surpass the rainfall value of 2013. The normal rain as of today is 889.3 mm which is 40 mm more than the season’s normal which is from June 1 to September 23.

Exactly one week before for the end of the Monsoon season, the total seasonal rainfall across India has surpassed the Long Period Average (LPA).

The Southwest Monsoon commences on June 1 and ends on September 30. Now, we are at the fag end of the month and the season has already clocked its normal rainfall. Till date, in this Monsoon season, we have recorded 889.3 mm of rains against the normal of 887 mm.

Southwest Monsoon started on a very sluggish note and at the month end of June, the rain deficiency mounted to 33% while July ended with a 5% surplus. In the month of August, the figures jumped to 15% excess. In the month of September, until today, a surplus of 30% has been witnessed.

We are at the fag end of the month and it points toward the withdrawal but there are no signs of retreating Monsoon for now. With the upcoming weather systems, parts of Central, East, Northeast and South India will see rains barring Northwest India where rains will be of subdued nature.

Monsoon remains Active

In the coming week or so, some regions are likely to witness moderate to heavy rains and these rains will push the season’s rainfall figure to above normal and it may possibly end somewhere between 105%-106%.

The Monsoon season comes to an end on September 30, i.e. the curtains get drawn on this date, but rains will not stop, and we will continue to see rainfall activity thereafter as well.

The systems are brewing in both the seas as both the basins are active and as the systems will move inland, it will give rain over many parts of the country.

Southwest Monsoon 2019 unlike other year in the past will end on a good note.

Image Credits – Business Standard

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