Delhi is expected to have rain on 4th and 5th February with light to moderate intensity in most pockets. Rainfall amount is likely to vary from 1-5mm in different parts of Delhi. Though February is known for hailstorm activity, the probability of hailstorm in this spell is low. This mild activity is unlikely to cause any disruption of traffic or inconvenience to the public.
February is the rainiest of all winter months for Delhi with an average monthly total of 22.1mm (more than January). However, the variability of rainfall remains very high and ranges from zero to more than 100mm. While 2017 and 2018 observed completely dry weather conditions over Delhi, the year 2013 was deluged with 103mm of rain. Both the maximum and minimum temperature in Delhi rise by nearly 3°C and the respective normal stand at 23.9°C and 10.4°C. Again temperatures also have large fluctuations during the month and live with the possibility of minimum crossing 15°C or dropping below 8°C in the last week of the month for Delhi.
Western disturbance has arrived in the proximity of Jammu and Kashmir, and started impacting weather with the overcast sky to start with and will soon have rain and snow lasting for the next 3 days. This system also has induced a cyclonic circulation over Rajasthan and neighbourhood. This feature will gradually become more organized and also shift eastward taking the rainfall belt to Delhi and beyond.
The minimum temperature has already increased and a further rise is expected over the next 3 days. Cold wave conditions will abate and will come back in Delhi, not before Sunday, 07 February. Rain is likely to commence in Delhi during later part of the day on 04th February and intermittent spells will last till next day forenoon. Delhiites can expect a sunny weekend albeit with the chill in the air.