Weather Forecast September 09: Heavy Rain Likely Over UP, Bihar, Uttarakhand and East Madhya Pradesh

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Sep 8, 2026, 11:45 AM
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Key Takeaways:

  • A fresh low pressure area is likely to develop over the Northwest Bay of Bengal on September 10 and move inland by September 12.
  • The system may remain active for about five days and traverse eastern and central parts of India.
  • Madhya Pradesh could witness the core weather activity, while rain may extend to Delhi, East Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Telangana and parts of Gujarat.
  • The upcoming system could possibly be the last weather system before the commencement of monsoon withdrawal from extreme western India.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.

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The Weather Systems Over The Country

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The low-pressure area over southwest Uttar Pradesh has moved to central Uttar Pradesh. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 5.8 km above mean sea level. The system is likely to move east-northeastwards during the next 24 hours.

The monsoon trough passes through Bikaner, the centre of the low-pressure area over central Uttar Pradesh, Daltonganj, Ranchi and Bankura, before extending eastwards towards Tripura. It extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

A trough extends from south Gujarat to north Bangladesh across the cyclonic circulation over central Uttar Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and West Bengal between 3.1 and 5.8 km above mean sea level.

A Western Disturbance persists as a cyclonic circulation over Kashmir and adjoining areas at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Another Western Disturbance is present as a trough in the middle and upper tropospheric westerlies, with its axis near 70°E to the north of 28°N at 7.6 km above mean sea level.

An upper-air cyclonic circulation persists over northeast Assam and adjoining areas up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

A trough extends from south Telangana to the Gulf of Mannar across Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu at 0.9 km above mean sea level.

An upper-air cyclonic circulation persists over Saurashtra and adjoining areas at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours

During the last 24 hours, widespread light to moderate rain occurred over Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, west Madhya Pradesh, and Konkan and Goa.

Light to moderate rain occurred at many places over Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Odisha, Bihar, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, east Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, north interior Karnataka and Lakshadweep.

Heavy rain occurred at isolated places over west Uttar Pradesh. Bareilly recorded 32 cm of rainfall, Shahjahanpur 23 cm, and Long Island in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands recorded 11 cm.

Gwalior, Churu and Ratnagiri recorded 4 cm of rainfall each.

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The weather over Gujarat and west Rajasthan remained almost dry.

The highest maximum temperature over the country was 39.9°C at Vellore in Tamil Nadu. The lowest minimum temperature over the plains was 15.6°C at Yavatmal in Maharashtra.

Maximum temperatures were markedly above normal at isolated places over Jammu and Kashmir, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu. Hotter-than-normal conditions also prevailed over parts of coastal Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Telangana, Kerala and Lakshadweep.

Forecast

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with isolated heavy spells may occur over Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim.

Light to moderate rain spells are possible over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura, Gangetic West Bengal and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Jharkhand, Odisha, west Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha.

Rainfall will decrease significantly over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan and west Uttar Pradesh. However, isolated light rain or thunderstorms remain possible during the next 24 hours.

Widespread light to moderate rain may continue over Konkan and Goa. Isolated rain is possible over Gujarat, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada.

Subdued rainfall activity will continue across most of peninsular India. Isolated rain or thunderstorms may occur over Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep.

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Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

Isolated heavy spells may occur over Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim.

Yes. Rainfall activity is expected to decrease significantly over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan and west Uttar Pradesh, although isolated light rain or thunderstorms remain possible.

The low-pressure area has moved from southwest Uttar Pradesh to central Uttar Pradesh and is likely to move east-northeastwards during the next 24 hours.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.