Cyclone season has begun over Indian oceans. Month of October and November usually remains active for the cyclogenesis. Cyclone Shaheen developed in the last week of September over Bay of Bengal and its impact was felt up to initial period of October across central India.
A low-pressure area will develop over North Andaman Sea by October 10 and may become more marked. Conditions are favorable for this weather system to intensify into a cyclone. If the cyclone forms, it will be named as Jawad.
This weather system is expected to move towards south and north Andhra coast. Another weather system is seen over South China Sea which will eventually re-emerge in Eastern parts of a Bay of Bengal.by October 15 or 16. The second low pressure area will also follow almost similar part and move towards east coast of the country.
Most of the weather systems which develop in Bay of Bengal usually affect north Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, or West Bengal and sometimes recurve towards Bangladesh or Myanmar. Cyclones in the month of November usually follow a westerly track towards Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. And in the month of December, they usually impact Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.